Fairfax County Market Snapshot™ — The Casey Samson Team

Current Market Conditions

Fairfax Sees Modest Movement as the Market Is Moving Toward Neutral Territory (38%)

Over the last 14 days, buyer demand is very strong! — confirming this shift toward Neutral territory.

30 Day Inv

-8%

30 Day Sales

38%

%UC

30%

14 Day Absorption

Go Go Zone

Rank	County	30D Inv	30D Sales	%UC	14D Absorption	Control
1	Arlington	39%	29%	42%	27%	Neutral
2	Fairfax	7%	-8%	38%	30%	Buyer's
3	Prince William	13%	-15%	34%	22%	Buyer's
4	Loudoun	13%	-16%	31%	22%	Buyer's
5	Fauquier	26%	-12%	28%	21%	Buyer's
—	Averages	20%	-5%	34%	26%	Buyer's

Year to Date News: YTD sales are up a solid 6% with a strong 82% success rate — a genuinely good year despite modest current movement. The 14 day absorption shows 30% (Go Go Zone), but check your local market for current absorption rates.

Year to Date

Fairfax Family YTD Sales Up 6% as Inventory Holds Flat

An 82% success rate — the region's best — confirms genuinely efficient conversion this year.

Inv

Sales

82%

Success Rate

Rank	County	YTD Inv	YTD Sales	Success
1	Fairfax	0%	6%	82%
2	Arlington	3%	7%	78%
3	Loudoun	0%	0%	76%
4	Prince William	1%	-1%	76%
5	Fauquier	17%	13%	70%
—	Averages	4%	5%	76%

Current Market Update: Fairfax's current contracts are down 8% with inventory up 7%, and the market sits at 38% under contract — a slightly softer current picture than the steady YTD success rate would suggest.

Current Market Conditions

Fairfax Luxury Inventory Is Building as the Market Remains Strongly (27%) in Control of Buyers

Over the last 14 days, buyer demand is soft — consistent with this current inventory buildup.

30 Day Inv

-16%

30 Day Sales

27%

%UC

17%

14 Day Absorption

No Go Zone

Rank	County	30D Inv	30D Sales	%UC	14D Absorption	Control
1	Prince William	60%	80%	34%	18%	Buyer's
2	Loudoun	21%	7%	27%	15%	Buyer's
3	Fairfax	7%	-16%	27%	17%	Buyer's
4	Fauquier	23%	80%	19%	6%	Buyer's
5	Arlington	175%	-17%	16%	5%	Buyer's
—	Averages	57%	27%	25%	12%	Buyer's

Year to Date News: YTD sales are up a modest 3% with a 66% success rate, still in the 60s range — showing sellers and agents aren't fully responding to conditions despite this modest growth. The 14 day absorption shows 17% (No Go Zone), but check your local market for current absorption rates.

Year to Date

Fairfax Luxury YTD Sales Up 3% as Inventory Holds Nearly Flat

A 66% success rate, still in the 60s range, shows sellers and agents aren't fully responding to conditions.

Inv

Sales

66%

Success Rate

Rank	County	YTD Inv	YTD Sales	Success
1	Loudoun	6%	8%	68%
2	Fairfax	1%	3%	66%
3	Arlington	-9%	-12%	65%
4	Prince William	45%	34%	64%
5	Fauquier	14%	20%	64%
—	Averages	11%	10%	65%

Current Market Update: Fairfax's current inventory is building while contracts pull back (-16%), and soft buyer demand confirms this trend hasn't reversed yet.