Market Update

Smart Sellers Are Still Winning! Over the past four years, limited inventory has driven home prices 20–25% above inflation based values, and while 2026 was expected to bring a 30% increase in inventory and a shift away from a seller’s market, unexpected disruptions including severe winter weather, global conflict, and rising gas prices slowed new listings and kept supply tight.
Instead of rising sharply, inventory has remained relatively flat across Northern Virginia, with Vienna down 3% and other areas seeing only modest gains, keeping upward pressure on prices. As a result, the market is still favoring sellers, but many are missing the opportunity.
While 60–75% of homes sold in the first week over the past four years, only 31% are doing so in 2026 due to overpricing and lack of preparation, leaving many sellers unable to capitalize on peak market conditions.
Don’t leave money on the table, call Casey to get full value for your home.
View our new and improved Market Snapshot and see what current market conditions are for your area. Want to understand the cycle behind the surge? Read more about Understanding Real Estate Cycles.
What sets the Casey Samson Team apart?
In a market where inventory is up over last year and conditions vary dramatically by region, our strategic pricing models and deep market insight give our clients a critical edge.
While others navigate shifting trends, we lead, delivering consistent, exceptional results:
- $231M in Sales in 2025
- $104M in Vienna homes over $1M
- $200M in homes over $1M
- Average Days on Market: 8 days
We’re proud to be:
- #1 Listing Team in Virginia – Samson Properties
- #1 Luxury Agent – Samson Properties
- #1 Luxury Team in Virginia, #3 Medium Team in Virginia
- Top .05% in the United States, RealTrends
These results aren’t just numbers, they reflect our commitment to excellence in every market condition.
Visit new our Preview Page for exclusive homes coming soon to coming soon. Ask us about the homes in our pipeline, we have $30M+ in properties that are getting ready to sell!
Open House this Thursday, May 21st, from 5-7pm:
11416 Vale Rd, Oakton, Virginia. Just Listed for $1,399,000. Open House Thursday, May 21st from 5-7PM! Nestled in the heart of Oakton’s coveted Vale Springs Wood, this home presents the rare combination of estate style privacy and timeless architecture. Set on approximately 1.34 acres, this expansive residence offers over 5,980 square feet of refined living space with 5 bedrooms, 3 full baths, and 2 half baths. Hardwood flooring, multiple fireplaces, large windows overlooking the wooded grounds, and generous entertaining spaces that create an elegant yet comfortable atmosphere ideal for both sophisticated entertaining and everyday luxury living. Welcoming 2 story foyer with a curved staircase opens to a living room and dining room with traditional architectural detailing. Gourmet kitchen is oversized and functional for entertaining while cooking. Family room has been renovated over the years while preserving the home’s original craftsmanship. Spectacular sunroom is the heart of the home, filled with natural light from soaring vaulted ceilings, oversized skylights above, wood stove, and built-ins for storage. Main and upper level features large bedrooms and multiple bathrooms that provide flexibility for guests or multigenerational living. Unfinished lower level offers plenty of potential for a recreation room, home gym, or bonus room. Bathroom hookup is already in place, adding convenience for future finishing and customization. Outdoors features an in-ground pool, expansive deck, and patio areas that further enhances its resort-like character. Mature landscaping, and a secluded wooded setting for privacy. 2 car side loading garage, circular driveway with ample room for cars, and inviting front porch adds plenty of curb appeal. Nearby Waples Mill, Franklin and Oakton Pyramid. Visit 11416Vale.com for a full preview. For a private showing contact Kelly Samson at 703-609-4582.

3501 Birdsboro Dr, Fairfax, Virginia. Just Listed for $1,650,000. Open Thursday, May 21st from 5-7PM! Oakton Charm with a convenient Fairfax location! Stunning home in sought after Tilton Valley Estates sited on a private 0.85 acre lot. This home features 4 bedrooms, 4.5 Baths and 5,500 finished square feet. Elegant and updated interior with a formal living and dining room, kitchen, family room and sunroom. Luxurious owner’s suite with sitting room and updated en suite bathroom. Finished lower level with a recreation room, bonus room and full bath. Outdoor entertaining on a spacious deck and expansive yard with landscaping and backing to trees. Great Fairfax location close to restaurants, shops, commuter routes and within the top rated Oakton pyramid. Visit 3501Birdsboro.com for a full preview. For a private showing when the home goes active, contact Kelly Samson for a private showing at 703-609-4582.

3031 N Stuart St, Arlington, Virginia. Just Listed for $4,000,000. A true statement in luxury living, this one-of-a-kind custom home was designed and built by 8-time award winning architect and builder Jim Kennerknecht of Monarch Building and Development. Located in prestigious Broyhill Forest, this exceptional residence offers 6 bedrooms, 6 full baths, 3 half baths, and 8,126 square feet on a premium 0.29 acre corner lot. The main level showcases a seamless open design with formal living and dining rooms, a walk-in wine cellar with butler’s pantry, and a chef’s kitchen featuring Thermador and Miele appliances, quartzite countertops, and an oversized island, all flowing into a light-filled family room with fireplace and patio access. Upstairs, the owner’s suite is a private sanctuary with dual custom closets, a spa-inspired bath, private balcony, and sitting area, along with three en-suite bedrooms and a versatile loft. The walk-up lower level is built for entertaining with a fireplace, full wet bar, gym, half bath, and two private bedroom suites, while outdoor living shines with a New Orleans style courtyard, Zen garden, patio, and two car garage, all just minutes from Washington, D.C. Visit 3031NStuart.com for a full preview. For a private showing when the home goes active, contact Morgan Samson at 703-609-1745 or Colby Smyth at 703-597-2428.
1504 Night Shade Court, Vienna, Virginia. Just listed for $1,450,000. Nestled on a quiet cul-de-sac in one of Vienna’s most desirable neighborhoods, Wolf Trap Meadows, this all brick home has 4 bedrooms, 3.5 bathrooms, and 4,664 finished square feet on three levels. It boasts an array of luxury finishes throughout this bright, open floor plan that provides more than enough space for entertaining family and friends. The welcoming two story foyer opens to a formal living room and dining room. A chef’s dream kitchen showcases a center island with a cooktop, soapstone countertops, a dual refrigerator, wall ovens, and a breakfast room. A grand family room with recessed lights and a fireplace is the perfect space to relax, then step out onto the deck. The main level also features an executive office with built-in bookcases, a butler’s pantry, a laundry room, and a half bath. The upper level features an owner’s suite with easy access to a three seasons screened-in porch, great for having your morning coffee or tea. It also features a sitting room that could be turned into a bedroom, and luxurious spa-like en suite bathroom with a dual vanity, soaking tub, and walk-in shower with frameless glass doors. Three additional bedrooms and a full bath on the upper level. Entertain in style in the lower level that features a large recreation room with a fireplace and a wet bar. On this level, you will also find a bedroom, a bonus room, a sauna that acts as a private, tranquil wellness retreat, and a full bathroom. This 0.59 acre lot backs to trees for your own privacy with lots of potential in the beautifully landscaped backyard. Outdoors also features a large multi-level deck for hosting outdoor gatherings or simply enjoying quiet moments surrounded by nature. Additional highlights include a two car front loading garage and a wide driveway with plenty of parking space. Close to shops and restaurants. Nearby Westbriar/Kilmer/Marshall Pyramid. *Virtual staging used on the main level, primary bedroom, and basement. Visit 1504NightShade.com for a full preview. Call Colby Smyth for a private showing at 703-597-2428 or Morgan Samson at 703-609-1745.
719 Meadow Lane SW, Vienna, Virginia. Just Listed for $2,350,000! Modern luxury meets everyday convenience in this newly built 2025 custom home by Lords Meadow LLC, ideally located in the heart of Vienna with no HOA. Offering 6 bedrooms, 6.5 baths, and 6,299 square feet on a premium corner lot, this striking residence showcases bold contemporary architecture, high-end finishes, and thoughtfully designed living spaces. The main level features an open concept layout perfect for entertaining, including spacious living and dining areas, a private home office, and a main level bedroom suite ideal for guests or multi-generational living. At the heart of the home is a stunning chef’s kitchen equipped with top-of-the-line Thermador appliances, including a 48” refrigerator, 48” dual fuel range with hood, dual dishwashers, drawer microwave, granite countertops, and an impressive 10×5 waterfall island. Large Andersen windows fill the home with natural light, while two fireplaces add warmth and sophistication. Upstairs, the luxurious owner’s suite offers dual walk-in closets and a spa inspired bath with marble walls and flooring, while three additional spacious bedrooms with ensuite bathrooms, walk-in closets and an upper level laundry room provide both comfort and convenience. A versatile loft sitting area creates the perfect flex space for a lounge, study area, or secondary living room. The finished lower level is designed for recreation and entertaining with a large open space, wet bar, private gym, 6th bedroom, full bath and endless flexibility for movie nights, gatherings, or extended living. 10′ ceilings on main and upper levels, 9′ ceilings in the lower level. Outside, enjoy a spacious deck ideal for outdoor dining and entertaining, an oversized garage with ample storage, and a premium 0.25 acre corner lot. Just minutes from Vienna Metro, I-66, shopping, dining, and all that Vienna has to offer, this exceptional home delivers luxury living in one of Northern Virginia’s most desirable locations. Top rated Marshall Road/ Thoreau/Madison Pyramid. Visit 719MeadowLane.com for a full preview. Call Colby Smyth for a private showing at 703-597-2428 or Morgan Samson at 703-609-1745.
8612 Cottage Street, Vienna, Virginia. Just Listed for $1,100,000! Charming and thoughtfully updated, this inviting home sits on a 0.27-acre corner lot in the heart of Vienna and offers 4 bedrooms, 3.5 baths, and 2,400 square feet of finished living space. The main level features beautiful, wide plank flooring and a bright, open layout with a spacious living room, dining room, and an impressive updated kitchen. The kitchen is the heart of the home, showcasing crisp white cabinetry, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, subway tile backsplash, and a large center island, flowing seamlessly into the adjacent breakfast area with access to the deck—perfect for indoor outdoor living. The family room is warm and inviting with a gas fireplace accented by modern wood detailing, creating a cozy focal point for everyday living and entertaining. Upstairs, the primary suite offers a private en-suite bath, while three additional bedrooms and a full hall bath provide comfortable space for family, guests, or home office needs. The finished lower level adds flexibility with a recreation room, full bath, and laundry area, an ideal space for extended living or entertaining. Step outside to a peaceful backyard with a deck and patio, shaded by mature trees and offering plenty of room to relax or gather. Connected to public water, public sewer, and natural gas, this home is ideally located just minutes from the Metro, downtown Vienna, shops, restaurants, and parks, blending classic charm with everyday convenience and exceptional potential. Visit 8612Cottage.com for a full preview. Call Colby Smyth for a private showing at 703-597-2428 or Morgan Samson at 703-609-1745.

Announcing our new podcast, Real Housed.
Where Northern Virginia Real Estate Meets Real Talk. Join The Casey Samson Team for unfiltered happy hour conversations mixing market insights, winning strategies, local lifestyle, and the hottest restaurants and events in Vienna, Virginia. Take a seat at our table and see how we stir it, all while running a $200M/year family business. Trust us, there’s never a dull moment when our family gets together. Real talk. Real Housed. Watch or Listen Here.
1109 Hillcrest Dr SW, Vienna, Virginia. Under Contract! Gorgeous bi-level home in a premium corner lot in the sought after Vienna Woods community. This home features 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, 3,000 square feet located on 0.29 acres. Offers the perfect blend of style, space, and comfort for modern family living. The inside has an open floor plan, hardwood floors and neutral paint that creates a bright space. The main level welcomes you with a spacious recreation room, perfect for casual gatherings, game nights, or a secondary living area. Also features a private bedroom, a flexible bonus room ideal for a home office, gym, or hobby space, a full bathroom, and a dedicated laundry room. Upper level showcases the heart of the home with an inviting and light-filled layout. Enjoy a living room and dining room, perfect for entertaining, along with a well appointed kitchen. The gourmet kitchen is designed to impress with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, a gas range, and a convenient pass through connects the kitchen and dining room, enhancing both function and flow. Comfortable family room with skylights and cozy fireplace for seamless everyday living. The owner’s suite provides a relaxing retreat complete with a private en suite bath, while two additional bedrooms and a full hall bathroom offer ample space for family and guests. On this level french doors and sliding glass doors connect effortlessly to the screened-in porch and deck, creating an ideal indoor-outdoor lifestyle perfect for hosting or unwinding, backyard that backs to mature trees for added privacy. A concrete driveway ensures convenient off-street parking and low-maintenance durability, complementing the home’s overall curb appeal. Conveniently located near major commuter routes I-66, I-495, Route 123, the Dulles Toll Road, and Metro access. This home also places you just minutes from the shopping, dining, and entertainment options of downtown Vienna, Tysons Corner, and the Mosaic District. Visit 1109Hillcrest.com for a full preview. For a private showing contact Morgan Samson at 703-609-1745 or Colby Smyth at 703-597-2428.
Under Contract in the first weekend with multiple offers! 1507 Night Shade Court, Vienna, Virginia. Just listed for $1,450,000. Immaculate colonial home nestled on a quiet cul-de-sac in the desirable Wolf Trap Meadows community of Vienna. This home offers the perfect blend of privacy, space, and classic charm. Boasting 4,806 square feet, this home features 5 spacious bedrooms, 4 full baths, and 2 half baths thoughtfully designed across three levels, sited on 0.83 acre lot. Step inside to a welcoming foyer entrance that opens to an elegant living room and formal dining room. The gourmet kitchen is a chef’s dream, featuring a center island, granite countertops, double oven, pantry, stainless steel appliances, and a generous breakfast area with direct access to the deck. Spacious family room with a fireplace creates a cozy focal point. The main level also features an office, second living room, and newly renovated powder room with pottery barn vanity. Luxurious owner’s suite on the upper level, thoughtfully designed to impress. It features an expansive, boutique-style walk-in closet offering exceptional storage, and elegant display space. Owner’s suite includes a private laundry closet with washer and dryer, and spa-inspired en suite bath with dual vanities, and a tiled frameless walk-in shower with dual shower heads. Three additional bedrooms include one with a private en suite bath and a hallway bath. The walk-out finished lower level delivers a true extension of the home, featuring a fireplace centered recreation room, an exercise room with wet bar, half bath room, and a laundry room. Lower level also features a 5th bedroom complemented by a full bathroom ideal for multi-generational living. The exterior is equally impressive, featuring 4 side brick façade, attached 2 car garage, serene outdoor living with a deck, an expansive patio, and professionally landscaped grounds. Located within a quiet, established neighborhood known for larger lots and a peaceful setting. Nearby Westbriar /Kilmer/Marshall Pyramid. Visit 1507NightShade.com for a full preview.
Under Contract! 1221 Riley Preserve Court, Great Falls, Virginia. Luxury living meets modern craftsmanship in this stunning custom estate in the prestigious Arden community of Great Falls, built in 2023 with 5 bedrooms, 5 full baths, 2 half baths, and 8,217 finished square feet on a private 0.87-acre lot. The main level is designed for elegant living with a formal dining room, office, stunning chef’s kitchen with Wolf/SubZero appliances, oversized island, walk-in pantry, and a living room with a gas fireplace and accordion doors opening to the patio. A luxurious main-level owner’s suite features wooded views, dual walk-in closets, and a spa-inspired bath, along with two additional en suite bedrooms and a private in-law suite with its own sitting area and laundry. The walk-out lower level is built for entertainment with a wet bar and lounge, home theater, gym, golf simulator, additional bedroom suite, and bonus den. Surrounded by mature trees for exceptional privacy, the home also includes a three-car side-load garage and a prime location minutes from Vienna, Tysons, Reston, and Washington, D.C. Visit 1221RileyPreserve.com for a full preview.

Under Contract in the first weekend! 6303 Rockbridge Place, Centreville, Virginia. Nestled on a quiet cul-de-sac in the heart of Pleasant Forest, this beautifully maintained home offers the perfect blend of comfort, space, and convenience. This home features 5 bedrooms and 4.5 bathrooms on 4,571 square feet of finished living space. Two story foyer welcomes you with a bright, open layout designed for both everyday living and entertaining, featuring spacious formal living and dining rooms. Gourmet kitchen with ample cabinetry, generous counter space, center island, and high-end stainless steel appliances connects to the breakfast room. A seamless connection to the adjoining family room, creating an inviting atmosphere for gatherings. The main level also includes a distinguished executive office with built-in bookcases, a convenient half bath, and laundry room. Upper level continues to impress with a generously sized owner’s suite offering a private retreat complete with an en suite bath and walk-in closet. Three additional bedrooms are well proportioned and share access to two thoughtfully designed bathrooms, providing flexibility for family, guests, or home office needs. Finished walk-out lower level offers additional living space, ideal for a recreation room, media area, or fitness zone. This level also includes a fifth bedroom, full bathroom, and a versatile bonus room. Outdoors, the property features a spacious deck overlooking a beautifully landscaped backyard, perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or enjoying quiet evenings. This 0.67 acre lot backs to trees for your own privacy. A two car side loading garage and spacious driveway ensure ample parking. Located just minutes from major commuter routes, shopping, dining, and local parks, this home delivers a rare combination of suburban tranquility and everyday convenience in one of Centreville’s most desirable locations. Nearby Virginia Run/Stone/Westfield pyramid. Visit 6303Rockbridge.com for a full preview.
Under Contract! 2503 Easie St, Oakton, Virginia. Freshly updated with refinished floors, new paint and new carpet. Craftsman home in the sought after Marie Perzel community. This home features 4 bedrooms, 4.5 baths, and 4,032 square feet of stylish living space, all nestled on a 0.51 acre lot. Main level showcases an open floor plan filled with natural light and charm. Welcoming two story foyer leads into a formal living and dining area highlighted by elegant crown molding, chair railing, and recessed lighting. Gourmet kitchen features a center island, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, refrigerator, wall oven, separate beverage refrigerator, and ample cabinetry, making meal prep and storage a breeze. The kitchen seamlessly connects to the family room, both warmed by a stunning two-sided fireplace. The breakfast room with built-ins opens to the backyard. On the upper level, the owner’s suite includes a walk-in closet and a private en suite bath with hot tub, a walk-in shower, and dual vanity. Three additional bedrooms include a Jack and Jill bath and an additional full bathroom, offering ample space for family or guests. The finished lower level includes recreation room with a fireplace, wet bar, a bonus room, full bathroom, and a storage/utility room. Outdoors features a spacious Trex deck, and charming screened-in gazebo, a serene spot for relaxing out of the sun or enjoying a bug-free evening. The fully fenced backyard offers privacy and security, bordered by mature trees and professional landscaping. The covered front porch adds charm and curb appeal, while the two car side loading garage and driveway offers convenient parking. Short drive to shops, restaurants, major commuter routes, and the Metro. Nearby Oakton, Thoreau, and Madison pyramid. Visit 2503EasieStreet.com for a full preview.
View All of our Just Sold Listings
Gold Standard Listings and Pre-inspection works.
In a market where only 12% of the homes sell in the first weekend, our team pre-inspected 319 South Adams Street in Arlington, a home built in 1909. South Adams sold in the first weekend, over list price, with multiple contracts, and no home inspection! Find out more about Gold Standard Listings.
Friends don’t let friends struggle to sell their home, no matter where they live. If they need help outside of Northern Virginia, we can find great qualified listing agents anywhere in the country with our Network of Number Ones. If you or they are struggling to sell a property, give us a call, we would love to help! 703-508-2535.

Whats Your Home Really Worth?
In this ever changing market you need professionals who are experts at generating multiple contracts with the best terms! Our team is one stop shop at the top of the industry and we ready to help you with your home selling and buying needs.
Where can you start? We offer virtual or in person meetings. Find out what your home is really worth or set up a no obligation home buyer or seller consultation. TEXT Casey Samson direct at 703-508-2535.
Thinking of buying a home? Maybe it’s a goal for 2026? It’s never too early to start! Planning ahead is key. Start the process with us now for first steps and we will get you to your home ownership goal for 2026. Learn more about our home buyers program and watch or listen to Coffee with Casey, The Why, When and How of Buying a Home Watch Here
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Professional realtors, staff and no broker fees have allowed us to keep commissions down. Our work ethic has produced an incredible track record. If you need help anywhere in Northern Virginia, call Casey. Yes, he picks up his phone. 703-508-2535.

About Our Team:
The Casey Samson Team is a premier Northern Virginia real estate team known for unmatched market expertise, powerful negotiation skills, and exceptional client service. In 2025, our team achieved $231M in home sales, ranking as a top producing team at the leading brokerage in the DMV real estate market.
Our Realtors are consistently recognized among the top agents in Vienna, Oakton, Haymarket, Aldie, Ashburn, and Leesburg, Virginia, helping buyers and sellers navigate today’s competitive market with confidence. Whether you’re looking to buy a home or sell a home in Northern Virginia, our team delivers proven results, local insight, and a client-first experience.