Market Update

Smart Sellers Are Still Winning! Over the past four years, limited inventory has driven home prices 20–25% above inflation based values, and while 2026 was expected to bring a 30% increase in inventory and a shift away from a seller’s market, unexpected disruptions including severe winter weather, global conflict, and rising gas prices slowed new listings and kept supply tight.
Instead of rising sharply, inventory has remained relatively flat across Northern Virginia, with Vienna down 3% and other areas seeing only modest gains, keeping upward pressure on prices. As a result, the market is still favoring sellers, but many are missing the opportunity.
While 60–75% of homes sold in the first week over the past four years, only 31% are doing so in 2026 due to overpricing and lack of preparation, leaving many sellers unable to capitalize on peak market conditions.
Don’t leave money on the table, call Casey to get full value for your home.
View our new and improved Market Snapshot and see what current market conditions are for your area. Want to understand the cycle behind the surge? Read more about Understanding Real Estate Cycles.
What sets the Casey Samson Team apart?
In a market where inventory is up over last year and conditions vary dramatically by region, our strategic pricing models and deep market insight give our clients a critical edge.
While others navigate shifting trends, we lead, delivering consistent, exceptional results:
- $231M in Sales in 2025
- $104M in Vienna homes over $1M
- $200M in homes over $1M
- Average Days on Market: 8 days
We’re proud to be:
- #1 Listing Team in Virginia – Samson Properties
- #1 Luxury Agent – Samson Properties
- #1 Luxury Team in Virginia, #3 Medium Team in Virginia
- Top .05% in the United States, RealTrends
These results aren’t just numbers, they reflect our commitment to excellence in every market condition.
Visit new our Preview Page for exclusive homes coming soon to coming soon. Ask us about the homes in our pipeline, we have $30M+ in properties that are getting ready to sell!
Open House this Sunday, June 14th, from 1-3pm: 19144 Rocky Crest Terrace, Leesburg
Coming Soon! 3272 History Dr, Oakton, Virginia. Just Listed for $1,350,000. Open House Sunday, June 21st, from 1-3pm. Ideally located in sought after Oakton Estates, this updated home offers 5 bedrooms, 4.5 baths, and 4,282 finished square feet on a private 0.58 acre lot. Recent 2026 updates include new interior paint and updated bathrooms. The main level is highlighted by an owner’s suite featuring cathedral ceilings, a walk-in closet, sitting room, and updated bath. Additional main level living spaces include a living room with cathedral ceilings, formal dining room, family room with a wood burning fireplace, and a convenient laundry room. The renovated kitchen offers quartz countertops, skylights, a new stove, dishwasher, and a bright breakfast room. Upstairs, three bedrooms and two full baths provide comfortable additional living space. The finished lower level includes a recreation room, wet bar, fifth bedroom, bonus room, and full bath. Outside, enjoy mature landscaping, a deck, and a screened gazebo in a quiet neighborhood with wooded trails and abundant wildlife. Just minutes from shopping, dining, parks, and the top rated Oakton pyramid, this home offers space, convenience, and an exceptional Oakton location. Visit 3272History.com for a full preview. For a private showing when we go active contact Kelly Samson at 703-609-4582.

3031 N Stuart St, Arlington, Virginia. Just Listed for $4,000,000. A true statement in luxury living, this one-of-a-kind custom home was designed and built by 8-time award winning architect and builder Jim Kennerknecht of Monarch Building and Development. Located in prestigious Broyhill Forest, this exceptional residence offers 6 bedrooms, 6 full baths, 3 half baths, and 8,126 square feet on a premium 0.29 acre corner lot. The main level showcases a seamless open design with formal living and dining rooms, a walk-in wine cellar with butler’s pantry, and a chef’s kitchen featuring Thermador and Miele appliances, quartzite countertops, and an oversized island, all flowing into a light-filled family room with fireplace and patio access. Upstairs, the owner’s suite is a private sanctuary with dual custom closets, a spa-inspired bath, private balcony, and sitting area, along with three en-suite bedrooms and a versatile loft. The walk-up lower level is built for entertaining with a fireplace, full wet bar, gym, half bath, and two private bedroom suites, while outdoor living shines with a New Orleans style courtyard, Zen garden, patio, and two car garage, all just minutes from Washington, D.C. Visit 3031NStuart.com for a full preview. For a private showing contact Morgan Samson at 703-609-1745 or Colby Smyth at 703-597-2428.
19144 Rocky Crest Terrace, Leesburg, Virginia. Just listed for $750,000. Open House this Sunday, June 14th, from 1-3pm! Located in the sought after Lansdowne on the Potomac community, this beautifully maintained end unit townhome offers 4 bedrooms, 3.5 baths, and 2,844 square feet across three finished levels. The main level features a light filled living room, open concept kitchen and dining area, and access to a private deck perfect for outdoor entertaining. Upstairs, the spacious primary suite includes a walk-in closet, spa-inspired bath with soaking tub and dual vanity, and a flexible bonus space ideal for a home office. Two additional bedrooms, a full bath, and convenient upper-level laundry complete the upper floor. The finished walk-out lower level provides exceptional versatility with a large family room featuring a fireplace, a fourth bedroom, full bath, and direct access to the fenced backyard. Residents enjoy access to Lansdowne on the Potomac’s extensive amenities, including indoor and outdoor pools, a fitness center, clubhouse, tennis and pickleball courts, miles of trails, and HOA included cable and high-speed internet. Ideally located near downtown Leesburg, One Loudoun, shopping, dining, and entertainment, this home offers the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and community living. Visit 19144RockyCrest.com for a full preview. For a private showing contact Morgan Samson at 703-609-1745 or Colby Smyth at 703-597-2428.
Newly Priced! 8612 Cottage Street, Vienna, Virginia. Just Listed for $1,000,000. Charming and thoughtfully updated, this inviting home sits on a 0.27-acre corner lot in the heart of Vienna and offers 4 bedrooms, 3.5 baths, and 2,400 square feet of finished living space. The main level features beautiful, wide plank flooring and a bright, open layout with a spacious living room, dining room, and an impressive updated kitchen. The kitchen is the heart of the home, showcasing crisp white cabinetry, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, subway tile backsplash, and a large center island, flowing seamlessly into the adjacent breakfast area with access to the deck, perfect for indoor outdoor living. The family room is warm and inviting with a gas fireplace accented by modern wood detailing, creating a cozy focal point for everyday living and entertaining. Upstairs, the primary suite offers a private en-suite bath, while three additional bedrooms and a full hall bath provide comfortable space for family, guests, or home office needs. The finished lower level adds flexibility with a recreation room, full bath, and laundry area, an ideal space for extended living or entertaining. Step outside to a peaceful and newly fenced backyard with a deck and patio, shaded by mature trees and offering plenty of room to relax or gather. Connected to public water, public sewer, and natural gas, this home is ideally located just minutes from the Metro, downtown Vienna, shops, restaurants, and parks, blending classic charm with everyday convenience and exceptional potential. Visit 8612Cottage.com for a full preview. Call Colby Smyth for a private showing at 703-597-2428 or Morgan Samson at 703-609-1745.

Active/Under Contract! 3501 Birdsboro Dr, Fairfax, Virginia. Just Listed for $1,650,000. Oakton Charm with a convenient Fairfax location! Stunning home in sought after Tilton Valley Estates sited on a private 0.85 acre lot. This home features 4 bedrooms, 4.5 Baths and 5,500 finished square feet. Elegant and updated interior with a formal living and dining room, kitchen, family room and sunroom. Luxurious owner’s suite with sitting room and updated en suite bathroom. Finished lower level with a recreation room, bonus room and full bath. Outdoor entertaining on a spacious deck and expansive yard with landscaping and backing to trees. Great Fairfax location close to restaurants, shops, commuter routes and within the top rated Oakton pyramid. Visit 3501Birdsboro.com for a full preview. For a private showing contact Kelly Samson at 703-609-4582.
Back on the market! 2503 Easie St, Oakton, Virginia. Newly Priced for $1,449,900. Freshly updated with refinished floors, new paint and new carpet. Craftsman home in the sought after Marie Perzel community. This home features 4 bedrooms, 4.5 baths, and 4,032 square feet of stylish living space, all nestled on a 0.51 acre lot. Main level showcases an open floor plan filled with natural light and charm. Welcoming two story foyer leads into a formal living and dining area highlighted by elegant crown molding, chair railing, and recessed lighting. Gourmet kitchen features a center island, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, refrigerator, wall oven, separate beverage refrigerator, and ample cabinetry, making meal prep and storage a breeze. The kitchen seamlessly connects to the family room, both warmed by a stunning two-sided fireplace. The breakfast room with built-ins opens to the backyard. On the upper level, the owner’s suite includes a walk-in closet and a private en suite bath with hot tub, a walk-in shower, and dual vanity. Three additional bedrooms include a Jack and Jill bath and an additional full bathroom, offering ample space for family or guests. The finished lower level includes recreation room with a fireplace, wet bar, a bonus room, full bathroom, and a storage/utility room. Outdoors features a spacious Trex deck, and charming screened-in gazebo, a serene spot for relaxing out of the sun or enjoying a bug-free evening. The fully fenced backyard offers privacy and security, bordered by mature trees and professional landscaping. The covered front porch adds charm and curb appeal, while the two car side loading garage and driveway offers convenient parking. Short drive to shops, restaurants, major commuter routes, and the Metro. Nearby Oakton, Thoreau, and Madison pyramid. Visit 2503EasieStreet.com for a full preview. Call Billy Samson for a private showing at 703-380-0255.

Announcing our new podcast, Real Housed.
Where Northern Virginia Real Estate Meets Real Talk. Join The Casey Samson Team for unfiltered happy hour conversations mixing market insights, winning strategies, local lifestyle, and the hottest restaurants and events in Vienna, Virginia. Take a seat at our table and see how we stir it, all while running a $200M/year family business. Trust us, there’s never a dull moment when our family gets together. Real talk. Real Housed. Watch or Listen Here.
Under Contract! 11416 Vale Rd, Oakton, Virginia. Just Listed for $1,399,000. Nestled in the heart of Oakton’s coveted Vale Springs Wood, this home presents the rare combination of estate style privacy and timeless architecture. Set on approximately 1.34 acres, this expansive residence offers over 5,980 square feet of refined living space with 5 bedrooms, 3 full baths, and 2 half baths. Hardwood flooring, multiple fireplaces, large windows overlooking the wooded grounds, and generous entertaining spaces that create an elegant yet comfortable atmosphere ideal for both sophisticated entertaining and everyday luxury living. Welcoming 2 story foyer with a curved staircase opens to a living room and dining room with traditional architectural detailing. Gourmet kitchen is oversized and functional for entertaining while cooking. Family room has been renovated over the years while preserving the home’s original craftsmanship. Spectacular sunroom is the heart of the home, filled with natural light from soaring vaulted ceilings, oversized skylights above, wood stove, and built-ins for storage. Main and upper level features large bedrooms and multiple bathrooms that provide flexibility for guests or multigenerational living. Unfinished lower level offers plenty of potential for a recreation room, home gym, or bonus room. Bathroom hookup is already in place, adding convenience for future finishing and customization. Outdoors features an in-ground pool, expansive deck, and patio areas that further enhances its resort-like character. Mature landscaping, and a secluded wooded setting for privacy. 2 car side loading garage, circular driveway with ample room for cars, and inviting front porch adds plenty of curb appeal. Nearby Waples Mill, Franklin and Oakton Pyramid. Visit 11416Vale.com for a full preview.
Under Contract! 1504 Night Shade Court, Vienna, Virginia. Just listed for $1,450,000. Nestled on a quiet cul-de-sac in one of Vienna’s most desirable neighborhoods, Wolf Trap Meadows, this all brick home has 4 bedrooms, 3.5 bathrooms, and 4,664 finished square feet on three levels. It boasts an array of luxury finishes throughout this bright, open floor plan that provides more than enough space for entertaining family and friends. The welcoming two story foyer opens to a formal living room and dining room. A chef’s dream kitchen showcases a center island with a cooktop, soapstone countertops, a dual refrigerator, wall ovens, and a breakfast room. A grand family room with recessed lights and a fireplace is the perfect space to relax, then step out onto the deck. The main level also features an executive office with built-in bookcases, a butler’s pantry, a laundry room, and a half bath. The upper level features an owner’s suite with easy access to a three seasons screened-in porch, great for having your morning coffee or tea. It also features a sitting room that could be turned into a bedroom, and luxurious spa-like en suite bathroom with a dual vanity, soaking tub, and walk-in shower with frameless glass doors. Three additional bedrooms and a full bath on the upper level. Entertain in style in the lower level that features a large recreation room with a fireplace and a wet bar. On this level, you will also find a bedroom, a bonus room, a sauna that acts as a private, tranquil wellness retreat, and a full bathroom. This 0.59 acre lot backs to trees for your own privacy with lots of potential in the beautifully landscaped backyard. Outdoors also features a large multi-level deck for hosting outdoor gatherings or simply enjoying quiet moments surrounded by nature. Additional highlights include a two car front loading garage and a wide driveway with plenty of parking space. Close to shops and restaurants. Nearby Westbriar/Kilmer/Marshall Pyramid. *Virtual staging used on the main level, primary bedroom, and basement. Visit 1504NightShade.com for a full preview.
Under Contract! 1109 Hillcrest Dr SW, Vienna, Virginia. Gorgeous bi-level home in a premium corner lot in the sought after Vienna Woods community. This home features 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, 3,000 square feet located on 0.29 acres. Offers the perfect blend of style, space, and comfort for modern family living. The inside has an open floor plan, hardwood floors and neutral paint that creates a bright space. The main level welcomes you with a spacious recreation room, perfect for casual gatherings, game nights, or a secondary living area. Also features a private bedroom, a flexible bonus room ideal for a home office, gym, or hobby space, a full bathroom, and a dedicated laundry room. Upper level showcases the heart of the home with an inviting and light-filled layout. Enjoy a living room and dining room, perfect for entertaining, along with a well appointed kitchen. The gourmet kitchen is designed to impress with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, a gas range, and a convenient pass through connects the kitchen and dining room, enhancing both function and flow. Comfortable family room with skylights and cozy fireplace for seamless everyday living. The owner’s suite provides a relaxing retreat complete with a private en suite bath, while two additional bedrooms and a full hall bathroom offer ample space for family and guests. On this level french doors and sliding glass doors connect effortlessly to the screened-in porch and deck, creating an ideal indoor-outdoor lifestyle perfect for hosting or unwinding, backyard that backs to mature trees for added privacy. A concrete driveway ensures convenient off-street parking and low-maintenance durability, complementing the home’s overall curb appeal. Conveniently located near major commuter routes I-66, I-495, Route 123, the Dulles Toll Road, and Metro access. This home also places you just minutes from the shopping, dining, and entertainment options of downtown Vienna, Tysons Corner, and the Mosaic District. Visit 1109Hillcrest.com for a full preview. For a private showing contact Morgan Samson at 703-609-1745 or Colby Smyth at 703-597-2428.

Under Contract first weekend on the market! 3175 Summit Square, Unit #5-C2, Oakton, Virginia. Rarely available 2 bedroom, 2 bath condo with elevator access in sought after Four Winds at Oakton, offering 1,083 square feet of bright and beautifully updated living space. Found on the third level, this open concept home features a dining room, living room with fireplace and fresh interior updates throughout, including a renovated kitchen, updated primary bath, newer flooring, fresh paint, and major system improvements for easy move in convenience. The spacious primary suite offers comfort and privacy, while the second bedroom, full bath, and in unit laundry provide flexibility and everyday functionality. Enjoy peaceful views from the private balcony along with community amenities including a pool, fitness center, dog park, picnic area, community center, and ample parking. Ideally located just 1.5 miles from Metro with a bus stop right outside, this quiet Oakton community is within walking distance to tennis courts and Borge Street Park, minutes from Oak Marr Rec Center, Blake Lane Park, shopping, dining, commuter routes, and within the top rated Oakton Pyramid.
View All of our Just Sold Listings
Gold Standard Listings and Pre-inspection works.
In a market where only 12% of the homes sell in the first weekend, our team pre-inspected 319 South Adams Street in Arlington, a home built in 1909. South Adams sold in the first weekend, over list price, with multiple contracts, and no home inspection! Find out more about Gold Standard Listings.
Friends don’t let friends struggle to sell their home, no matter where they live. If they need help outside of Northern Virginia, we can find great qualified listing agents anywhere in the country with our Network of Number Ones. If you or they are struggling to sell a property, give us a call, we would love to help! 703-508-2535.

Whats Your Home Really Worth?
In this ever changing market you need professionals who are experts at generating multiple contracts with the best terms! Our team is one stop shop at the top of the industry and we ready to help you with your home selling and buying needs.
Where can you start? We offer virtual or in person meetings. Find out what your home is really worth or set up a no obligation home buyer or seller consultation. TEXT Casey Samson direct at 703-508-2535.
Thinking of buying a home? Maybe it’s a goal for 2026? It’s never too early to start! Planning ahead is key. Start the process with us now for first steps and we will get you to your home ownership goal for 2026. Learn more about our home buyers program and watch or listen to Coffee with Casey, The Why, When and How of Buying a Home Watch Here
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Professional realtors, staff and no broker fees have allowed us to keep commissions down. Our work ethic has produced an incredible track record. If you need help anywhere in Northern Virginia, call Casey. Yes, he picks up his phone. 703-508-2535.

About Our Team:
The Casey Samson Team is a premier Northern Virginia real estate team known for unmatched market expertise, powerful negotiation skills, and exceptional client service. In 2025, our team achieved $231M in home sales, ranking as a top producing team at the leading brokerage in the DMV real estate market.
Our Realtors are consistently recognized among the top agents in Vienna, Oakton, Haymarket, Aldie, Ashburn, and Leesburg, Virginia, helping buyers and sellers navigate today’s competitive market with confidence. Whether you’re looking to buy a home or sell a home in Northern Virginia, our team delivers proven results, local insight, and a client-first experience.